Predictions for Game 5 of the 2024 Stanley Cup Final between the Panthers and Oilers based on odds, line, and NHL model analysis

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The Florida Panthers make their second attempt at winning the first championship in franchise history when they host the Edmonton Oilers for Game 5 of the 2024 Stanley Cup Final on Tuesday. Florida won the first three games of the series but was unable to complete the sweep on Saturday as Edmonton cruised to an 8-1 victory. The Panthers have won four consecutive playoff contests at home, outscoring their opponents 12-4 during the streak. The Oilers have lost three of their last four on the road.

Opening faceoff at Amerant Bank Arena is set for 8 p.m. ET. Florida is a -135 favorite (risk $135 to win $100) in the latest Panthers vs. Oilers odds via SportsLine consensus, while the over/under for total goals scored is 5.5. Before making any Oilers vs. Panthers picks, you need to check out the NHL predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.

SportsLine’s model simulates every NHL game 10,000 times, taking into account factors like current form, individual matchups, injuries and short- and long-term trends when making NHL picks. It entered the 2024 Stanley Cup Final on a 7-4 run on top-rated puck-line picks.

Now, the model has set its sights on Panthers vs. Oilers and just locked in its NHL picks and Stanley Cup Final predictions. You can visit SportsLine now to see the picks. Here are the latest NHL odds and trends for Oilers vs. Panthers: 

  • Panthers vs. Oilers money line: Florida -136, Edmonton +116
  • Panthers vs. Oilers over/under: 5.5 goals
  • Panthers vs. Oilers puck line: Florida -1.5 (+187)
  • FLA: The Panthers have allowed fewer than three goals in nine of their 11 home playoff games 
  • EDM: The Oilers are 3-0 when facing elimination this postseason
  • Panthers vs. Oilers picks: See picks at SportsLine

Why you should back the Panthers

Florida has lost consecutive games just once this postseason, dropping Games 2 and 3 of the Eastern Conference final to the New York Rangers, but followed with six straight victories. Captain Aleksander Barkov leads the Panthers with 21 points in the playoffs and has recorded four two-point performances in his last eight contests. The 28-year-old center has produced two of those efforts in this series, notching a pair of assists in the opener while scoring one goal and setting up another in Game 3.

Vladimir Tarasenko has tallied in back-to-back games and three of his last five after registering only two goals in his first 16 contests this postseason. The 32-year-old Russian right wing, who is one of two players on the Panthers with his name already on the Stanley Cup, has amassed 73 points in 118 career playoff games. Tarasenko and Finnish center Anton Lundell both are riding three-game point streaks, with the latter recording four assists during his run. See who to back at SportsLine

Why you should back the Oilers

Edmonton finally has been able to generate offense in the series, scoring at least two goals in each of the last four periods after registering only two over the first eight sessions. Fifteen of the Oilers’ 18 skaters landed on the stat sheet in Game 4, with superstar Connor McDavid leading the attack with a goal and three assists. The 27-year-old center, who has collected six points in his last two games, is first in the NHL with 38 and looking to join Wayne Gretzky (three times) and Mario Lemieux as the only players to record at least 40 in one postseason.

McDavid had three assists in Game 4 to increase his total to 32 and break the single-playoff record set in 1988 by Gretzky (31). Darnell Nurse scored on Saturday, raising Edmonton’s league-leading total to 17 goals by defensemen in the postseason. Edmonton is first with a 93.6% success rate on the penalty kill and has gone 12-for-13 in the series, while Swedish center Mattias Janmark is the first Oiler with at least two short-handed goals in one postseason since Todd Marchant scored three in 1997. See who to back at SportsLine

How to make Panthers vs. Oilers picks

SportsLine’s model is leaning Under on the total, projecting 5.5 combined goals. It also says one side of the money line has all the value. You can only get the pick at SportsLine.

So who wins Panthers vs. Oilers in Game 5 of the 2024 Stanley Cup Final, and which side of the money line has all the value? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Oilers vs. Panthers money line to jump on Tuesday, all from the advanced model that has simulated this matchup 10,000 times.

As the 2024 Stanley Cup Final between the Florida Panthers and the Edmonton Oilers approaches its fifth game, hockey fans and analysts alike are buzzing with excitement and anticipation. With the series currently tied at 2-2, Game 5 is shaping up to be a crucial turning point for both teams.

According to odds and lines set by sportsbooks, the Panthers are currently favored to win Game 5. This is not surprising given their strong performance throughout the regular season and playoffs. Led by star players like Aleksander Barkov and Aaron Ekblad, the Panthers have shown themselves to be a formidable force on the ice.

On the other hand, the Oilers are not to be underestimated. With Connor McDavid and Leon Draisaitl leading the charge, they have the offensive firepower to match up against any team in the league. Despite being the underdogs in Game 5, the Oilers have proven time and time again that they are capable of pulling off upsets when it matters most.

When looking at NHL model analysis, it becomes clear that this game could go either way. Both teams have strengths and weaknesses that will come into play on the ice. The Panthers have a strong defense and goaltending, while the Oilers have a potent offense that can strike at any moment.

Ultimately, Game 5 of the 2024 Stanley Cup Final is shaping up to be a thrilling and unpredictable matchup. Fans can expect a fast-paced and intense game as both teams battle it out for supremacy on the ice. Whether you’re rooting for the Panthers or the Oilers, one thing is for certain – this game is sure to be one for the history books.