Predictions and Betting Odds for Game 3 of the 2024 NHL Western Conference Final between the Oilers and Stars from a Proven Model

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The 2024 NHL Western Conference Final heads north of the border as the Edmonton Oilers host the Dallas Stars in Game 3 on Monday. The Oilers took the first game of the series in double-overtime as Connor MCDavid’s game-winning goal solidified a 3-2 victory. Dallas roared back in Game 2 to win 3-1 and even up the series 1-1.

Opening faceoff at Rogers Place is set for 8:30 p.m. ET. Edmonton is a -129 favorite (risk $129 to win $100) on the money line in the latest Oilers vs. Stars odds from SportsLine consensus while Dallas is a +109 underdog. The over/under for total goals scored is 5.5 and Edmonton is a -1.5 (+199) favorite on the puck line. Before making any Stars vs. Oilers picks, you need to check out the NHL predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.

SportsLine’s model simulates every NHL game 10,000 times, taking into account factors like current form, individual matchups, injuries and short- and long-term trends when making NHL picks. It entered the 2024 NHL playoffs on a 7-4 run on top-rated puck-line picks.     

Now, the model has set its sights on Oilers vs. Stars and just locked in its NHL picks and predictions. You can visit SportsLine now to see the picks. Here are the latest NHL odds and trends for Stars vs. Oilers: 

  • Oilers vs. Stars money line: Edmonton -129, Dallas +109
  • Oilers vs. Stars over/under: 5.5 goals
  • Oilers vs. Stars puck line: Edmonton -1.5 (+199)
  • DAL: Have won five of six playoff road games
  • EDM: Have won three of their last four playoff home games
  • Stars vs. Oilers picks: See picks at SportsLine

Why you should back the Stars

While the Oilers have played in many high-scoring games this season, the goaltending in the current round is keeping the Over from hitting and that has a lot to do with Jake Oettinger. The Stars starting netminder has only surrendered one goal in four of his last six playoff starts, including Game 2 of this series when he held Edmonton to a solo goal on 29 shots. He has also won five of six road starts in these playoffs.

The Stars continue to get contributions from different parts of their lineup. Tyler Seguin moved from the third line to first-line center after finding the back of the net twice in Game 1 of this series. Meanwhile, captain Jamie Benn has scored in two of his last three games and defenseman Esa Lindell helped propel Dallas to victory in Game 2. See who to back at SportsLine

Why you should back the Oilers

Simply put, the Oilers are a hard team to keep down in their home barn. They have won three of their last four home playoff games and have done so by finding the back of the net, with the Over hitting in four of their last six at Rogers Place. Leon Draisaitl (25), McDavid (23) and Evan Bouchard (21) lead all skaters in points in the playoffs.

It doesn’t hurt that Stuart Skinner has played very well since being benched for two games in the last round. He is 3-1 in his last four starts with a 1.62 goals-against average and .921 save percentage, which is a big reason the Under has hit in each of Edmonton’s last three games despite many of their playoff tilts being high-scoring. See who to back at SportsLine

How to make Oilers vs. Stars picks

SportsLine’s model is leaning Over on the total, projecting 7.2 combined goals. It also says one side of the money line is the better value. You can only get the pick at SportsLine.

So who wins Stars vs. Oilers, and which side of the money line is the better value? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Stars vs. Oilers money line to jump on Monday, all from the advanced model that has simulated this matchup 10,000 times.

As the 2024 NHL Western Conference Final heats up, all eyes are on Game 3 between the Edmonton Oilers and the Dallas Stars. With both teams vying for a spot in the Stanley Cup Finals, fans and bettors alike are eager to see how this crucial matchup will play out.

According to a proven model that takes into account various factors such as team performance, player statistics, and historical data, the Oilers are currently favored to win Game 3. The model predicts that Edmonton has a 60% chance of coming out on top, while the Stars have a 40% chance of pulling off an upset.

One of the key factors contributing to the Oilers’ favorable odds is their strong performance throughout the playoffs. Led by superstar Connor McDavid and goaltender Mikko Koskinen, Edmonton has shown resilience and determination in their quest for the Stanley Cup. Additionally, the Oilers’ depth and scoring ability have proven to be major assets in their success thus far.

On the other hand, the Stars cannot be underestimated. With players like Tyler Seguin and Miro Heiskanen leading the charge, Dallas has shown that they are a force to be reckoned with. The Stars’ strong defensive play and goaltending have kept them in contention throughout the playoffs, and they will undoubtedly be looking to make a statement in Game 3.

When it comes to betting odds, the model suggests that the over/under for total goals scored in Game 3 is set at 5.5, with the odds slightly favoring the over. Additionally, the spread for the game is currently set at -1.5 in favor of the Oilers, indicating that they are expected to win by at least two goals.

As always, it’s important to remember that sports betting involves a certain level of risk and uncertainty. While the model provides valuable insights and predictions, there are no guarantees when it comes to predicting the outcome of a hockey game. Ultimately, it will be up to the players on the ice to determine the final result of Game 3.

With Game 3 of the 2024 NHL Western Conference Final fast approaching, fans and bettors can look forward to an exciting and intense matchup between the Oilers and Stars. Whether you’re rooting for Edmonton or Dallas, one thing is for certain – this game is sure to be a thrilling display of skill, determination, and passion for the game of hockey.