As the 2023 Stanley Cup Final heats up, hockey fans around the world are eagerly anticipating game 3 between the Florida Panthers and the Vegas Golden Knights. While both teams have shown impressive skill and determination throughout the playoffs, many are turning to advanced hockey models to predict the odds and NHL picks for this crucial matchup.
One such model is the Corsica Hockey model, which uses advanced statistical analysis to predict the outcomes of NHL games. According to Corsica, the Panthers have a 54.5% chance of winning game 3, while the Golden Knights have a 45.5% chance.
So what factors are contributing to these predictions? For starters, Corsica takes into account each team’s performance throughout the playoffs, as well as their overall regular season statistics. In terms of goals scored per game, the Panthers have a slight edge over the Golden Knights, averaging 3.2 goals per game compared to Vegas’ 2.9.
However, the Golden Knights have been more successful on defense, allowing just 2.4 goals per game compared to Florida’s 2.7. This could give them an advantage in game 3, particularly if they’re able to shut down the Panthers’ potent offense.
Another key factor in Corsica’s predictions is each team’s power play and penalty kill percentages. The Panthers have been particularly effective on the power play throughout the playoffs, converting on 23.5% of their opportunities. Meanwhile, the Golden Knights have struggled on the penalty kill, allowing opponents to score on 20% of their power play chances.
Of course, no model can predict the outcome of a hockey game with 100% accuracy. There are countless variables that can impact the final score, from injuries and fatigue to lucky bounces and unexpected plays.
That being said, hockey models like Corsica can provide valuable insights into each team’s strengths and weaknesses, helping fans and analysts make more informed NHL picks. Whether you’re rooting for the Panthers or the Golden Knights, game 3 of the 2023 Stanley Cup Final is sure to be an exciting matchup that could go either way.