Predictions and analysis for Game 6 of the 2024 NHL Western Conference Final between the Oilers and Stars from a proven model

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The Edmonton Oilers host the Dallas Stars in Game 6 of the 2024 NHL Western Conference Finals on Sunday. Edmonton leads the series 3-2 after a 3-1 win in Game 5 on Sunday, and now it heads home with a chance to close out the series to earn its first trip to the Stanley Cup Final since 2006. However, Dallas has won an elimination game already this postseason, and it has been one of the best teams in the West the last two seasons.

Opening faceoff at Rogers Place in Edmonton is set for 8 p.m. ET. Edmonton is a -140 favorite (risk $140 to win $100) on the money line in the latest Oilers vs. Stars odds via the SportsLine consensus, while Dallas is a +119 underdog. The over/under for total goals scored is 5.5, and Edmonton is a -1.5 (+184) favorite on the puck line. Before making any Stars vs. Oilers picks, you need to check out the NHL predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.

SportsLine’s model simulates every NHL game 10,000 times, taking into account factors like current form, individual matchups, injuries and short- and long-term trends when making NHL picks. It entered the 2024 NHL playoffs on a 7-4 run on top-rated puck-line picks.     

Now, the model has set its sights on Stars vs. Oilers and just locked in its NHL playoff picks and predictions. You can visit SportsLine now to see the picks. Here are the latest NHL odds and trends for Oilers vs. Stars: 

  • Oilers vs. Stars money line: Edmonton -140, Dallas +119
  • Oilers vs. Stars over/under: 5.5 goals
  • Oilers vs. Stars puck line: Edmonton -1.5 (+184)
  • DAL: The Stars have won 14 of 17 games on the road
  • EDM: Over has hit in seven of Edmonton’s last nine home games
  • Oilers vs. Stars picks: See picks at SportsLine

Why you should back the Oilers

Edmonton has tapped into something special over the last two games. Facing a 2-1 deficit in the series and falling behind 2-0 early during Game 4, the Oilers rallied with their backs against the wall to score five unanswered goals. Then they followed that up with a 3-1 win in Dallas to regain control of the series. 

Connor McDavid assisted on four of the eight goals Edmonton scored in Games 4 and 5, and the three-time Hart Memorial Trophy winner will look to will his team to the Stanley Cup Final with another win in Game 6. He leads all skaters with 29 points this postseason, and he’s had two goals and six assists so far this series. See who to back at SportsLine

Why you should back the Stars

The Stars already showed their mettle by taking the defending world champion Vegas Golden Knights to a Game 7 and winning earlier this postseason. Dallas also rebounded to win four of five after losing Game 1 of its Western Conference semifinals series with the Colorado Avalanche

The Stars also won in Edmonton in Game 3 of this series, with Jason Robertson netting a hat trick in the process. Dallas has now won 14 of its last 17 games on the road and is a serious threat to force another Game 7 with a win on Sunday. See who to back at SportsLine

How to make Oilers vs. Stars picks

SportsLine’s model is leaning Over on the total, projecting 7.2 combined goals. It also says one side of the money line is the better value. You can only get the pick at SportsLine.

So who wins Oilers vs. Stars, and which side of the money line is the better value? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Stars vs. Oilers money line to jump on Sunday, all from the advanced model that has simulated this matchup 10,000 times.

As the 2024 NHL Western Conference Final between the Edmonton Oilers and Dallas Stars heads into Game 6, fans and analysts alike are eagerly anticipating the outcome of what has been a thrilling and closely contested series. With both teams showcasing their skill and determination on the ice, it’s anyone’s guess as to who will come out on top in this crucial game.

One way to gain insights into the potential outcome of Game 6 is through the use of predictive models that analyze various factors such as player performance, team statistics, and historical data. One such proven model that has been gaining attention in the world of sports analytics is the Elo rating system, which calculates the relative skill levels of teams based on their performance in previous games.

According to the Elo ratings for the Oilers and Stars, both teams are evenly matched heading into Game 6, with only a slight edge given to the Oilers based on their recent performance. However, it’s important to note that these ratings are just one piece of the puzzle when it comes to predicting the outcome of a game, as there are many other factors that can influence the final result.

In addition to the Elo ratings, analysts are also looking at key player matchups, injury reports, and coaching strategies to get a better sense of how Game 6 might play out. For example, the Oilers will be relying on their star players such as Connor McDavid and Leon Draisaitl to lead the way offensively, while the Stars will be looking to their goaltender and defensive core to shut down the Oilers’ high-powered offense.

Ultimately, Game 6 of the 2024 NHL Western Conference Final is shaping up to be a thrilling and unpredictable matchup between two talented teams. While predictive models can provide some insights into the potential outcome, at the end of the day, it will come down to which team can execute their game plan and capitalize on their opportunities on the ice.

Fans can expect an intense and exciting game as the Oilers and Stars battle it out for a spot in the Stanley Cup Final. Whether you’re rooting for Edmonton or Dallas, one thing is for certain – Game 6 is sure to be a must-watch event for hockey fans everywhere.